Ben Roethlisberger wasn’t very assured about his workforce’s possibilities of beating the Chiefs on Sunday. Odds makers agree the Steelers are a longshot.
FanDuel Sportsbook at the moment has Kansas Metropolis as a 12.5 level favourite to beat Pittsburgh.
Pittsburgh followers can’t stay up for the previous conflict between the 2 groups with confidence. In Week 16, the Chiefs throttled the Steelers 36-10, with play uncontrolled early within the second half and Patrick Mahomes resting for a lot of the fourth quarter. Even Roethlisberger was out of the sport for Pittsburgh’s Last Drive.
MORE: TJ Watt will accept a share of the sack report after Steeler’s enchantment for extra sack was turned down
It is a historic head begin, and a Pittsburgh victory can be nothing lower than that: historic. Sporting Information tells the story of the groups with the worst odds within the wildcard spherical:
Greatest NFL Wildcard Favorites
There isn’t any precedent for a workforce so closely favored because the Chiefs, who misplaced within the first spherical of the playoffs.
Based on Stathead, the biggest unfold within the wildcard period (since 1978) is 11 factors, which has occurred 3 times: Bears vs. Saints (-11) in 2021, Dolphins vs. Steelers (-11) in 2017, and Vikings vs. Packer in 2013 (-11). The three favorites not solely gained, all of them coated the vary.
NFL PLAYOFF POWER RANKINGS: Any workforce’s actual possibilities of profitable Tremendous Bowl 56
Even overcoming being a landing underdog is a large job. This is a take a look at the historical past of the groups that confronted at the very least +6.5 odds of profitable within the first spherical of the playoffs.
The worst-chance workforce that really prompted a stir was the Seahawks in 2011, after they defeated 10-point favorites Saints 41-36. Washington had been the one different workforce to have a double-digit lead over a favourite in final season’s playoffs when the Buccaneers (-10) took a 31-23 win.
Groups which can be at the very least landing favorites within the wildcard spherical have averaged 25 factors over the underdog’s 18 within the 50 earlier encounters between groups in that place. The favorites at all times have a powerful report of 35-15 when the chances makers set the unfold at -6.5.
All-time NFL playoff underdogs
Whereas an underdog as large because the Steelers has by no means gained the wildcard spherical, there’s a precedent for them to win in a playoff match.
Based on Stathead, the best underdog to ever win an NFL playoff sport got here in 1969 when the Jets overcame a +18 line to beat the Baltimore Colts 16-7.
SUPER BOWL ODDS: Packers, Chiefs open playoffs as favorites to win Tremendous Bowl 56
There have been a complete of 26 groups within the playoffs that Stathead stated had been at the very least 12.5 level underdogs within the playoffs, they usually have a 4-22 report. These groups had been outperformed on common 32-15.
The final time a workforce was at the very least a 12.5-point underdog and gained was when the Giants beat the Patriots 17:14 in Tremendous Bowl 42.
The Steelers had just one likelihood of profitable the postseason after they had been underdogs with 13.5 factors to beat the Cowboys in Tremendous Bowl 30 in 1996. Whereas they had been overlaying the unfold, they misplaced the sport 27-17.